Thursday, August 03, 2006

Coffee or Tech? From 中環博客 Central Blogger

Chevalier used to be a tech company in Hong Kong and having acquired Pacific Coffee it seems that its converting to be a coffee business. You'd refer to 中環博客 Central Blogger: Coffee or Tech?

I myself don't like Pacific Coffee because the food and drink quality is not high and I always feel (disclaimer: this is solely because of my personal feeling and it might not be the fact) that their staff would give better service to English speaking customers, whether they are Chinese or non-Chinese.

In fact I could see the risk of the 2 coffee chains in Hong Kong, namely Starbucks and Pacific Coffee. Their coffee are not something new to Hong Kong people. Yes, it could be probable that their coffee would become part of our daily life - but I doubt. So far the colleagues around me, esp. female colleagues, are still not taking the habit of drinking coffee. Maybe it would be something nice-to-have but not mandatory. I used to drink coffee every day and I might get a cup at Starbie but now I turn to the coffee in my pantry. It's merely filter coffee but when compared with a $25+ cup of coffee the quality of my cup definitely exceeded the cost I incur: the labour of taking a cup and pour coffee into it.

Another thing is, if I really want to drink coffee, esp. take-away, I do not need a comfortable place for drinking the coffee. I could just go into McDonald's and grap a cup. It's just less than $10. The quality of Starbie & PC coffee doesn't match with the increment of their monetary value. If I have to sit down and wait for some others, I might pick a Starbie ( I seldom pick a PC unless the location is great because the red deco is making me sick) and stay there, maybe 1/2 hour or 1 hour. If I'd stay there for an hour, that means the cost I 'rent' that sofa for this hour should be equal to the cup of coffee I bought, i.e. $25+. Imagine how much $$ McDonald's or Cafe de Coral could generate from an hour? So it would really hurt if the coffee shops are located in costly office towers.

What I want to demonstrate here is that if drinking coffee could not be established as a habit in the Mainland China, PC's plan would fail there. OK, even the habit has been established, having done some research on the attitude towards drinking coffee of the Mainland people, I guess it might be evolved to a Japan coffee-drinking model. What's that? That is, the Japanese are not very keen on Starbie coffees against their own coffee shops. In fact, if coffee beans are roasted elsewhere the freshness would be discounted. I'm not saying that that many people know how to appreciate coffee. But if the impression that the beans are not fresh and the taste of coffee would be affected, the foreign coffee shops in the Mainland China would suffer. Haven't you seen that many coffee shops in Japan are telling others that they roast their beans on their own?

Also, the service attitude of Chinese waiters & waitresses are not yet satisfactory to give others a comfortable environment, as well as keeping the coffee shop a clean, tidy and comfortable place for enjoying the coffee. They are the important factors of a coffee shop, even more important than the taste of the coffee. If Chevalier couldn't overcome this they could hardly succeed, although I could see that the hygiene of PC coffee has been improved after its acquisition (Disclaimer: my impression only, no scientific evidence).

Good luck to Cheavlier. I guess I have other choices in the stock market.

Tuesday, August 01, 2006

Site Visit - Jul 31, 2006

P & I went to the place again but this time the focus is on the competitors.
Sadly, the coffee shop is not full.

We went to a small restaurants with focus on seafood. It looks like a Hong Kong style western restaurants but its selling Chinese style seafood lunch. It has a 蒸櫃! Per bililng is about $40 in average. That means under certain condition the per billing for each person during lunch could reach this amount if we've some edges.

Another one is strange. Its position is pretty good but the kitchen is quite large with ONE table for 2 persons only. But we'd see a couple of people lining up and wait for the take-away. Its also selling some cheese cakes things.

The third one is the one which opens on Sunday and it sells herbal tea and its a little bit in European style. Certainly its earning good $$ 'cos it closes on Monday and this time its moving to somewhere nearby and became a larger shop... about 5 times larger! Its just next to the potential one... probably its a reason why the owner wants to sell his/her own coffee shop.

To summarize:
  1. Potential in increasing lunch per billing
  2. Take-away could be a large market
  3. OL style prevails
It led to another question. Many OL do not really drink coffee. Maybe we'd use The Pantry (http://www.pantry.com.hk/) as a portrait but we've to be low-end. Imagine we're an OL working at that area what we would feel interested for lunch? If we could sort that out we'd win.

I particularly mention The Pantry is because the deco makes me feel comfortable to go into it. I guess we need to re-paint the shop and make it more accessible.

What we have to do are:
  1. Think again how we'd develop the revenue
  2. Prepare the menu (it has to be distinguishable but not too westernized) and develop signature dish. I have that in mind already.
  3. Gather investors
' 要開創時代, 就是要一份勇氣。它可以寄存於政治家、專業人士、文人報人、創業家, 甚至太空人、女報販。缺乏勇氣,只可以注定庸碌地生活。雖然人各有志, 平凡過活亦是一種福氣, 但有勇氣的人與事是極為漂亮。 漂亮人生, 豈不是人所追求?' - 方卓如: 國金外望 (p.51)